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Daily Silicon: onsemi $1.604B: NVIDIA HBM4e and AI Chip Design

A practicing semiconductor engineer's daily read on global silicon news - onsemi $1.604B: NVIDIA HBM4e and AI Chip Design

Daily Silicon: onsemi $1.604B: NVIDIA HBM4e and AI Chip Design
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A practicing semiconductor engineer's daily read on global silicon news:

onsemi's $1,604 million Q2 and $1,650-$1,750 million Q3 guide set the earnings baseline, while NVIDIA's four HBM options, $886.7 billion in CSP capex, and LG's three-tier AI-home SoC plan tightened memory, packaging, and design qualification.

Chase's Take - I care less about onsemi's 9% revenue growth than PSG's 19% growth and the Q3 non-GAAP gross-margin guide of 40.0%-42.0%. A broader AI rack power tree does not turn design wins into revenue if qualification stays slow.

Next I am watching whether AI data-center revenue tracks the 2026 goal of more than doubling and whether Q3 PSG mix actually lifts gross margin.

1. onsemi Q2 2026: PSG at $829.0 Million Lifted Margin

TL;DR - Revenue was $1,604 million at 38.4% gross margin, while the 2026 AI data-center revenue target remains more than 2x.

Source: onsemi - onsemi Q2 2026: PSG at $829.0 Million Lifted Margin


2. Four NVIDIA Rubin Ultra HBM4/HBM4e Configurations for 2027

Four NVIDIA Rubin Ultra HBM4/HBM4e Configurations for 2027

TL;DR - NVIDIA is evaluating 8-Hi HBM4e, 12-Hi HBM4, and 8-Hi HBM4 alongside the 12-Hi HBM4e baseline; the final spec is not set.

Source: TrendForce - Four NVIDIA Rubin Ultra HBM4/HBM4e Configurations for 2027


3. 2026 CSP Capex at $886.7 Billion, AI Server Growth Forecast at 31%

2026 CSP Capex at $886.7 Billion, AI Server Growth Forecast at 31%

TL;DR - The nine CSPs will spend more than $886.7 billion in 2026, and the AI server shipment growth forecast rose from 28% to about 31%.

Source: TrendForce - 2026 CSP Capex at $886.7 Billion, AI Server Growth Forecast at 31%


4. LG AI-Home SoC Lineup: 30, 10, and 1.5 TOPS

LG AI-Home SoC Lineup: 30, 10, and 1.5 TOPS

TL;DR - LG Electronics is developing AI-home SoCs with domestic fabless partners at >30 TOPS premium, 10 TOPS midrange, and 1.5 TOPS entry tiers.

Source: ETNews - LG AI-Home SoC Lineup: 30, 10, and 1.5 TOPS


What to Watch Next

  • onsemi Q3 revenue of $1,650-$1,750 million and non-GAAP gross margin of 40.0%-42.0%
    This is the first test of whether PSG and AI rack power mix convert into margin, not just revenue.
  • Rubin Ultra's final 8-Hi and 12-Hi HBM4/HBM4e spec and validation schedule
    DRAM wafer allocation and stack yield will determine shippable accelerator volume.
  • Actual AI rack installations versus CSP capex, plus liquid-cooling and power-energization speed
    Energized rack count is a more realistic leading indicator for packaging and interconnect demand than purchase orders.
  • LG AI-home SoC foundry, node, PDK disclosure, and product-level qualification
    This will show whether the 30, 10, and 1.5 TOPS tiers reach real tapeouts under a common software stack.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did onsemi report for Q2 2026?

onsemi reported Q2 revenue of $1,604 million at a 38.4% gross margin, with PSG revenue of $829.0 million. Q3 guidance is $1,650 million to $1,750 million with non-GAAP gross margin of 40.0% to 42.0%.

How much will the nine CSPs spend in 2026?

The nine CSPs will spend more than $886.7 billion in 2026. The AI server shipment growth forecast rose from 28% to about 31%.

What HBM options is NVIDIA evaluating for Rubin Ultra?

NVIDIA is evaluating 8-Hi HBM4e, 12-Hi HBM4, and 8-Hi HBM4 alongside the 12-Hi HBM4e baseline. The final specification is not set.

What are LG's AI-home SoC tiers?

LG Electronics is developing AI-home SoCs at over 30 TOPS for premium, 10 TOPS for midrange, and 1.5 TOPS for entry tiers. The chips are being developed with domestic fabless partners.

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